Correlations

Suppose the historical correlations between the 7 day moving average of covid deaths and hospitalizations and ICU beds holds. What does that imply for future trends in covid related deaths?…

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December Employment

Yesterday’s nonfarm payroll employment growth (here) surprised (significantly) on the downside. Figure 1: Nonfarm payroll employment from July release (blue), August (red), September (teal), October (pink), November (lilac), December (black),…

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