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Author: Paul Krugman

This author has written 50 articles
Home » Archives for Paul Krugman

Why We Don’t Have a Carbon Tax

  • Post published:2022-08-16
  • Post category:Finance

Three and a half years ago, an open letter that more than 3,600 economists eventually signed declared that “climate change is a serious problem calling for immediate national action.” The…

Continue ReadingWhy We Don’t Have a Carbon Tax

Why Republicans Turned Against the Environment

  • Post published:2022-08-15
  • Post category:Finance

In 1990 Congress passed an amendment to the Clean Air Act of 1970, among other things taking action against acid rain, urban smog and ozone.The legislation was highly successful, greatly…

Continue ReadingWhy Republicans Turned Against the Environment

Wonking Out: Is 2022 Like 1980?

  • Post published:2022-08-12
  • Post category:Finance

It has been a good week on the inflation front. First we had a flat month for the Consumer Price Index — zero inflation in July. Then we saw an…

Continue ReadingWonking Out: Is 2022 Like 1980?

Finally, Some Good News on Inflation

  • Post published:2022-08-11
  • Post category:Finance

This is not the end of inflation. It is not even the beginning of the end. But it is, perhaps, the end of the beginning.On Wednesday, the Bureau of Labor…

Continue ReadingFinally, Some Good News on Inflation

Was There a Biden Boom?

  • Post published:2022-08-09
  • Post category:Finance

Two weeks ago, I wrote a newsletter that I foolishly considered somewhat anodyne, not likely to get much reaction. It seemed probable that the initial estimate for G.D.P. growth in…

Continue ReadingWas There a Biden Boom?

The Inflation Reduction Act Is a Huge Deal for the Climate

  • Post published:2022-08-08
  • Post category:Finance

They really did it. The Inflation Reduction Act, which is mainly a climate change bill with a side helping of health reform, passed the Senate on Sunday; by all accounts…

Continue ReadingThe Inflation Reduction Act Is a Huge Deal for the Climate

Wonking Out: The Meaning of Falling Inflation

  • Post published:2022-08-05
  • Post category:Finance

Inflation is coming down — fast.Gas prices, defying predictions of a nightmare summer for motorists, are leading the parade:Less pain at the pump.Gasbuddy.comThe majority of gas stations in the United…

Continue ReadingWonking Out: The Meaning of Falling Inflation

Biden’s Climate-Change Bill Won’t Tax the Middle Class

  • Post published:2022-08-04
  • Post category:Finance

Kyrsten Sinema willing, Democrats appear to be on the verge of passing the Inflation Reduction Act — a bill that probably would, indeed, reduce inflation but is mainly a desperately…

Continue ReadingBiden’s Climate-Change Bill Won’t Tax the Middle Class

The Effect of Russian Embargoes on the War in Ukraine

  • Post published:2022-08-02
  • Post category:Finance

The other day, my CUNY and Stone Center colleague Branko Milanovic suggested that it would be interesting to “compare Napoleon’s continental blockade against Great Britain to the current sanctions against…

Continue ReadingThe Effect of Russian Embargoes on the War in Ukraine

Can Inflation Reduction Save the Planet?

  • Post published:2022-08-01
  • Post category:Finance

After all the false starts and dashed hopes of the past two years, I’m reluctant to count my chickens before they’ve actually been signed in the Oval Office. Still, it…

Continue ReadingCan Inflation Reduction Save the Planet?

How Do Workers’ Wages Relate to Inflation?

  • Post published:2022-07-29
  • Post category:Finance

At one level, the wages and salaries employers pay their workers are just another price — in this case, the price you pay for the use of someone’s time and…

Continue ReadingHow Do Workers’ Wages Relate to Inflation?

How Goes the War on Inflation?

  • Post published:2022-07-28
  • Post category:Finance

The U.S. economy is not currently in a recession. No, two quarters of negative growth aren’t, whatever you may have heard, the “official” or “technical” definition of a recession; that…

Continue ReadingHow Goes the War on Inflation?

Recession: What Does It Mean?

  • Post published:2022-07-26
  • Post category:Finance

There’s a pretty good chance the Bureau of Economic Analysis, which produces the numbers on gross domestic product and other macroeconomic data, will declare on Thursday, preliminarily, that real G.D.P.…

Continue ReadingRecession: What Does It Mean?

The Dystopian Myths of Red America

  • Post published:2022-07-25
  • Post category:Finance

Desensitization is an amazing thing. At this point most political observers simply accept it as a fact of life that an overwhelming majority of Republicans accept the Big Lie that…

Continue ReadingThe Dystopian Myths of Red America

Wonking Out: What’s the Matter With Italy?

  • Post published:2022-07-22
  • Post category:Finance

As president of the European Central Bank, Mario Draghi saved the euro. In my estimation, this makes him history’s greatest central banker, outranking even the former Fed chairs Paul Volcker,…

Continue ReadingWonking Out: What’s the Matter With Italy?

Why Republicans Are Having Gas Pains

  • Post published:2022-07-21
  • Post category:Finance

Until just the other day, Republicans and conservative media loved, just loved talking about the price of gasoline. Indeed, “Remember how cheap gas used to be under Trump?” became a…

Continue ReadingWhy Republicans Are Having Gas Pains

Paul Krugman: I Was Wrong About Inflation

  • Post published:2022-07-21
  • Post category:Finance

Sean DongSean DongIn early 2021 there was an intense debate among economists about the likely consequences of the American Rescue Plan, the $1.9 trillion package enacted by a new Democratic…

Continue ReadingPaul Krugman: I Was Wrong About Inflation

Inflation: A Revolution of Falling Expectations

  • Post published:2022-07-19
  • Post category:Finance

Macroeconomic policy in the United States has been subject to two great errors over the past half-century. The odds are that you’ve only heard about the first, the way the…

Continue ReadingInflation: A Revolution of Falling Expectations

Climate Politics Are Worse Than You Think

  • Post published:2022-07-18
  • Post category:Finance

Texas is often hot, but not like this: Current forecasts have the temperature in Dallas hitting 109 degrees Tuesday, with highs in triple digits well into next week.Britain, on the…

Continue ReadingClimate Politics Are Worse Than You Think

Wonking Out: The Meaning of the Plunging Euro

  • Post published:2022-07-15
  • Post category:Finance

In the summer of 2001, my wife and I took a cycling tour in Burgundy. We loved the scenery, the wine, the food (except for the andouillette — yuck) —…

Continue ReadingWonking Out: The Meaning of the Plunging Euro

Why Markets Shrugged Off Bad Inflation News

  • Post published:2022-07-14
  • Post category:Finance

Another month, another bad consumer price report. Media headlines screamed about 9.1 percent inflation, and the numbers for June were, in fact, bad no matter how you cut them.Financial markets,…

Continue ReadingWhy Markets Shrugged Off Bad Inflation News

The Humbug Economy

  • Post published:2022-07-12
  • Post category:Finance

There’s an old story about Charles Darwin, which may or may not be true but seems appropriate to our current economic moment. According to the tale, two boys glued together…

Continue ReadingThe Humbug Economy

Crypto Is Crashing. Where Were the Regulators?

  • Post published:2022-07-11
  • Post category:Finance

When the Federal Reserve speaks, it speaks in Fedspeak. A pithy turn of phrase or a striking metaphor can all too easily turn into a headline, causing big market moves…

Continue ReadingCrypto Is Crashing. Where Were the Regulators?

Wonking Out: Rockets, Feathers and Prices at the Pump

  • Post published:2022-07-08
  • Post category:Finance

One of the sad paradoxes of politics is that few economic indicators matter more for public opinion — for voters’ evaluation of the government in power — than energy prices,…

Continue ReadingWonking Out: Rockets, Feathers and Prices at the Pump

That Was the Stagflation That Was

  • Post published:2022-07-07
  • Post category:Finance

On Wednesday the five-year breakeven inflation rate fell to 2.48 percent. If that doesn’t mean anything to you — which is completely forgivable if you aren’t a professional economy-watcher —…

Continue ReadingThat Was the Stagflation That Was

Another Step Toward Climate Apocalypse

  • Post published:2022-07-04
  • Post category:Finance

We’re having a heat wave, a tropical heat wave. Also a temperate heat wave and an Arctic heat wave, with temperatures reaching the high 80s in northern Norway. The megadrought…

Continue ReadingAnother Step Toward Climate Apocalypse

Wonking Out: Taking the ‘Flation’ Out of Stagflation

  • Post published:2022-07-01
  • Post category:Finance

A funny thing happened on the way to the Federal Reserve’s latest rate hike. The Fed went big on June 15, raising the interest rates it controls by 75 basis…

Continue ReadingWonking Out: Taking the ‘Flation’ Out of Stagflation

Crazies, Cowards and the Trump Coup

  • Post published:2022-06-30
  • Post category:Finance

Like many people, I expected the worst from the Jan. 6 committee: long, droning speeches, grandstanding by posturing politicians, lots of he-said-she-said.What we’ve gotten instead has been riveting and terrifying.…

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Technology and the Triumph of Pessimism

  • Post published:2022-06-28
  • Post category:Finance

One of the best-selling novels of the 19th century was a work of what we’d now call speculative fiction: Edward Bellamy’s “Looking Backward: 2000-1887.” Bellamy was one of the first…

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Why Did Republicans Become So Extreme?

  • Post published:2022-06-27
  • Post category:Finance

Many political analysts have spent years warning that the G.O.P. was becoming an extremist, anti-democratic party.Long before Republicans nominated Donald Trump for president, let alone before Trump refused to acknowledge…

Continue ReadingWhy Did Republicans Become So Extreme?

Wonking Out: Hot Economies and High Prices

  • Post published:2022-06-24
  • Post category:Finance

It is a truth universally acknowledged — well, anyway, a truth acknowledged by everyone I know who thinks about the subject — that a hot economy leads to higher wages…

Continue ReadingWonking Out: Hot Economies and High Prices

Beware the Dangers of Sado-Monetarism

  • Post published:2022-06-23
  • Post category:Finance

Sado-monetarism is having a moment. And one of the biggest risks now facing the U.S. economy is that it will have too much influence over policy.This term, by the way,…

Continue ReadingBeware the Dangers of Sado-Monetarism

Is the Era of Cheap Money Over?

  • Post published:2022-06-21
  • Post category:Finance

Interest rates are up. Stocks, especially glamour stocks, like Tesla, are down. And the crypto crash has been truly epic. What’s going on?Well, many people I read have been offering…

Continue ReadingIs the Era of Cheap Money Over?

Wonking Out: Wasn’t Bitcoin Supposed to Be a Hedge Against Inflation?

  • Post published:2022-06-17
  • Post category:Finance

There’s a financial joke, whose origin I don’t know, that has been making the rounds lately. It goes like this: If inflation continues at current rates, the purchasing power of…

Continue ReadingWonking Out: Wasn’t Bitcoin Supposed to Be a Hedge Against Inflation?

What Is Golf’s Problem? Sellout Culture.

  • Post published:2022-06-16
  • Post category:Finance

Even if you don’t play or follow golf — which I don’t — you’re probably aware of the controversy now engulfing the game. A number of the world’s top-ranked pro…

Continue ReadingWhat Is Golf’s Problem? Sellout Culture.

How America Lost Its Edge

  • Post published:2022-06-14
  • Post category:Finance

I’ve just finished a long European tour. No, I wasn’t playing Very Important Pundit, interviewing political and business leaders (although there were a few conferences along the way). Mostly I…

Continue ReadingHow America Lost Its Edge

What a Dying Lake Says About the Future

  • Post published:2022-06-13
  • Post category:Finance

A few days ago The Times published a report on the drying up of the Great Salt Lake, a story I’m ashamed to admit had flown under my personal radar.…

Continue ReadingWhat a Dying Lake Says About the Future

Wonking Out: Why Monetary Policy Has Gotten So Hard

  • Post published:2022-06-10
  • Post category:Finance

Today’s newsletter isn’t about what the Federal Reserve or its counterpart the European Central Bank should be doing. I have views, of course: For what it’s worth, I think the…

Continue ReadingWonking Out: Why Monetary Policy Has Gotten So Hard

Crime and Political Punishment

  • Post published:2022-06-09
  • Post category:Finance

Results from Tuesday’s primaries in California suggest that crime may be a big issue in the midterm elections. In San Francisco, a progressive prosecutor was ousted in a recall vote.…

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Elon Musk, Mars and the Modern Economy

  • Post published:2022-06-07
  • Post category:Finance

Elon Musk is clearly having a moment; he’s trying to back out of his deal to buy Twitter, but he probably can’t without paying billions in damages. Perhaps that’s why…

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From the Big Short to the Big Scam

  • Post published:2022-06-06
  • Post category:Finance

Remember “The Big Short”? The 2010 book by Michael Lewis, made into a 2015 film, told the story of the 2008 global financial crisis by following a handful of investors…

Continue ReadingFrom the Big Short to the Big Scam

Wonking Out: How Low Must Inflation Go?

  • Post published:2022-06-03
  • Post category:Finance

As I pointed out in my latest column, the politics of inflation are dominated by concerns about gasoline and food prices — precisely the prices over which policymakers in general,…

Continue ReadingWonking Out: How Low Must Inflation Go?

The Perverse Politics of Inflation

  • Post published:2022-06-02
  • Post category:Finance

On Monday, Eurostat, the European statistical agency, released a preliminary estimate of euro area inflation for March, and it was a shocker: 8.1 percent over the preceding year, 0.8 percent…

Continue ReadingThe Perverse Politics of Inflation

The Coming Rage of the Money Hawks

  • Post published:2022-05-27
  • Post category:Finance

Inflation in the United States has probably peaked.I realize in saying that I risk coming across as the boy who cried “no wolf.” I called inflation wrong last year. Much…

Continue ReadingThe Coming Rage of the Money Hawks

The G.O.P. Doesn’t Think People Should Have to Obey Rules

  • Post published:2022-05-26
  • Post category:Finance

It’s hard to say which of the Republican responses to the latest mass shooting was most reprehensible. The reliably awful Senator Ted Cruz attracted considerable attention by insisting that the…

Continue ReadingThe G.O.P. Doesn’t Think People Should Have to Obey Rules

The Heat Is Already On

  • Post published:2022-05-24
  • Post category:Finance

Last week Stuart Kirk, the head of responsible investing (!) for HSBC’s asset management division, gave a talk titled “Why investors need not worry about climate risk,” in which he…

Continue ReadingThe Heat Is Already On

Musk and Bezo Show the Perils of Plutocratic Pettiness

  • Post published:2022-05-23
  • Post category:Finance

The sultans of Silicon Valley are in a political snit, with some billionaires suddenly turning against Democrats. It’s not just Elon Musk. Other prominent players, including Jeff Bezos, have lashed…

Continue ReadingMusk and Bezo Show the Perils of Plutocratic Pettiness

Wonking Out: Is Stagflation Making a Comeback?

  • Post published:2022-05-20
  • Post category:Finance

When I talk to business groups these days, the most commonly asked question is, “Are we headed for stagflation?” I’m pretty sure they find my response unsatisfying, because I tell…

Continue ReadingWonking Out: Is Stagflation Making a Comeback?

How the West Is Strangling Putin’s Economy

  • Post published:2022-05-19
  • Post category:Finance

Russia’s military failure in Ukraine has defied almost everyone’s predictions. First came abject defeat at the gates of Kyiv. Then came the incredible shrinking blitzkrieg, as attempts to encircle Ukrainian…

Continue ReadingHow the West Is Strangling Putin’s Economy

Crashing Crypto: Is This Time Different?

  • Post published:2022-05-17
  • Post category:Finance

Last week TerraUSD, a stablecoin — a system that was supposed to perform a lot like a conventional bank account but was backed only by a cryptocurrency called Luna —…

Continue ReadingCrashing Crypto: Is This Time Different?

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