Probit regression recession on 10yr-3mo spread and 3 month interest rate:
Figure 1: Estimated recession probability using 1986 onward sample (blue), using pre-pandemic sample (tan), assuming no recession as of May 2025. NBER defined peak-to-trough recession dates shaded gray. Source: NBER, author’s calculations.
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Dear Donors,
We hope this message finds you in good health and high spirits. Today, we reach out to you with a heartfelt appeal for your support in sustaining our health practice. With over 30 years of dedicated experience, our practitioner—a seasoned researcher, teacher, and healer—has committed his life to serving individuals who have experienced the unimaginable.
His journey began by offering care to people returning from conflict zones, wars, natural and man-made disasters, and those who have been victims of torture. Through his expertise, he has been able to alleviate the physical and emotional burdens that these individuals carry.
For the past 30 years, our practitioner has specialized in the treatment of psychotrauma and Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder (PTSD), understanding the profound impact they have on health and life, not only for the individuals directly affected but also for their loved ones. Additionally, he has dedicated himself to providing long-term support for those battling physical and mental injuries, cancerous pathologies, genetic diseases, and other challenging conditions.
Through his unwavering commitment, he has helped and cared for several thousand people who were in desperate need, enabling them to not only survive but thrive. For those who lacked financial means, he has always offered care free of charge, allowing them to receive the support they needed, regardless of their circumstances. Those who could afford it were encouraged to contribute what they could, fostering a sense of community and shared responsibility.
The impact of our practitioner’s work cannot be overstated. Lives have been saved, hope has been restored, and the journey towards healing has been made possible for countless individuals. However, we find ourselves at a critical juncture where we urgently need your help and support to ensure the continuity of our services.
By making a donation to our health practice, you will directly contribute to the well-being and transformation of lives. Your generosity will empower us to continue providing essential care, support, and treatment to those who are most vulnerable. Your contribution will help us acquire the necessary resources, develop innovative therapies, and expand our reach to make a lasting impact on the lives of individuals and communities in need.
Join us in making a difference today. Your support will not only sustain our practice but also enable us to extend our services to those who might otherwise go without the care they desperately require. Together, we can create a brighter, healthier future for all.
To make a donation, please visit our donation page. Every contribution, no matter the size, makes a significant difference in the lives of those we serve.
Thank you for considering our appeal and for your compassion in supporting our health practice. Together, we can continue to save lives and inspire hope.
With deepest gratitude,
Yan A. Reichlen de Meldegg
Practitioner in Neuropsychology
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