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Daily Archives: 2025-08-01

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What Retirement Planning Tools Get Right and What They Miss

  • Post published:2025-08-01
  • Post category:Investing

Retirement planning tools are incredibly helpful, until they’re not. Various tools can offer insight into your financial future, but none of them tells the whole story on their own. To make informed retirement decisions, you need more than just a number…

Continue ReadingWhat Retirement Planning Tools Get Right and What They Miss

Is It Seasonal Adjustment?

  • Post published:2025-08-01
  • Post category:Finance

CEA Chair Miran asserts that some of the surprise in the employment numbers is due issues of seasonality. Can we see that? I can’t… Here’s y/y growth rate of the official series and the seasonally adjusted series. Figure 1: Year-on-year growth…

Continue ReadingIs It Seasonal Adjustment?

August 1, 2025: A Day that Will Live in Statistical Infamy

  • Post published:2025-08-01
  • Post category:Finance

As of 1:35PM CT today, the President has fired the Commissioner of Labor Statistics, within 6 hours of the latest employment release. So what all of feared about the safety of the independence of our economic statistical agencies has come to…

Continue ReadingAugust 1, 2025: A Day that Will Live in Statistical Infamy

Weekend Reading For Financial Planners (August 2–3)

  • Post published:2025-08-01
  • Post category:Investing

× Please contact your Firm's Group AdminIAR CE is only available if your organization contracts with Kitces.com for the credit. Please contact your firm's group administrator to enable this feature. If you do not know who your group administrator is you…

Continue ReadingWeekend Reading For Financial Planners (August 2–3)

Friday links: increasingly unreliable metrics

  • Post published:2025-08-01
  • Post category:Investing

Client Challenge JavaScript is disabled in your browser. Please enable JavaScript to proceed. A required part of this site couldn’t load. This may be due to a browser extension, network issues, or browser settings. Please check your connection, disable any ad…

Continue ReadingFriday links: increasingly unreliable metrics

Downside Surprise in Employment Levels

  • Post published:2025-08-01
  • Post category:Finance

Tales from the Employment Situation release for July: (1) July Establishment employment change below consensus; (2) Revisions make trends slower; (3) Adds data indicating a slowdown. Figure 1: Nonfarm Payroll Employment, July release (bold black, right log scale), implied Bloomberg consensus…

Continue ReadingDownside Surprise in Employment Levels

NFP Disappoint; Revisions Worse

  • Post published:2025-08-01
  • Post category:Finance

Client Challenge JavaScript is disabled in your browser. Please enable JavaScript to proceed. A required part of this site couldn’t load. This may be due to a browser extension, network issues, or browser settings. Please check your connection, disable any ad…

Continue ReadingNFP Disappoint; Revisions Worse

Podcast links: unplanned greatness

  • Post published:2025-08-01
  • Post category:Investing

Client Challenge JavaScript is disabled in your browser. Please enable JavaScript to proceed. A required part of this site couldn’t load. This may be due to a browser extension, network issues, or browser settings. Please check your connection, disable any ad…

Continue ReadingPodcast links: unplanned greatness

The Shocking Power Of Getting A Different Perspective

  • Post published:2025-08-01
  • Post category:Investing

Since starting Financial Samurai in 2009, I've encouraged folks to keep an open mind and embrace as many different perspectives as possible. So often, we get set in our ways and think our approach is the only right way to do…

Continue ReadingThe Shocking Power Of Getting A Different Perspective

A Perfectly Executed Probate Still Took 8 Months

  • Post published:2025-08-01
  • Post category:Investing

By ccieemeritus on the Bogleheads forum, Guest Writer [AUTHOR'S NOTE: Disclaimer: I am not a lawyer.] I recently finished self-representing and acting as the administrator for a probate in California. The death was unexpected, and there had been no estate planning.…

Continue ReadingA Perfectly Executed Probate Still Took 8 Months

Guest Contribution: “Trump’s Taylor Rule”

  • Post published:2025-08-01
  • Post category:Finance

Today, we present a guest post written by Jeffrey Frankel, Harpel Professor at Harvard’s Kennedy School of Government, and formerly a member of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, and Sohaib Nasim.  A shorter version appeared at Project Syndicate.  Donald Trump…

Continue ReadingGuest Contribution: “Trump’s Taylor Rule”

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Practitioner in Neuropsychology

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