Here is the audio, video, and transcript. Here is part of the episode summary: Tyler and Nate dive into expected utility theory and random Nash equilibria in poker, whether Silver’s tell-reading abilities transfer to real-world situations like NBA games, why academic…
SP Global’s monthly GDP series is up (with prediction of flat GDP in Q3): Figure 1: Nonfarm Payroll from CES (bold blue), civilian employment with smoothed population controls (orange), industrial production (red), Bloomberg implied consensus as of 8/13 (red square), personal…
Thanks to Paul Krugman for citing my brief paper on EJ Antoni’s 2022 recession claim, in “Hackification”, all in the cause of exposing the abuses of data now taking place. Krugman quotes Hannah Arendt: Totalitarianism in power invariably replaces all first-rate…
by Calculated Risk on 8/13/2025 07:30:00 PM Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios.Thursday: • At 8:30 AM ET, The initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released. The consensus is for initial claims to increase…
Many of the world's biggest real estate investment managers have been accused of "failing to take even basic steps" to curb their emissions and tackle climate risks in a new report this week, which warns...
A sizeable share of school leavers are considering skipping university to start working right away in the UK's growing green economy, according to the result of a new survey published today, which underscores...
The government is being urged to deliver on its commitment to invest £3.3bn in community green energy projects, as it gears up to launch its hotly-anticipated Local Clean Power Plan this autumn. In...
Drivers in Britain have faced a particularly bumpy ride this summer, thanks to the spate of heatwaves and prolonged dry, hot weather that has exacerbated the pothole crisis already afflicting roads across...
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Quote of the Day "Shorting is not easy. Identifying investigative red flag shorts is not the hard part. Making money from shorting bad actors is the difficult part." (Mojo) Chart of the Day Mortgage rates are at ten-month lows. (mortgagenewsdaily.com) Strategy…
The Posse Comitatus Act looms over President Trump’s decision to take over the Washington, D.C. police, his previous decision to assume control of the California National Guard, and the redistricting battle in Texas. On August 11, The White House issued a…
by Calculated Risk on 8/13/2025 01:19:00 PM Here is a look at the change in teen employment over time.The graph below shows the employment-population ratio for teens (16 to 19 years old) since 1948.The graph is Not Seasonally Adjusted (NSA), to…
August 13, 2025 | Asset Listings We’re thrilled to announce that USELESS is available for trading on Kraken! Funding and trading USELESS trading is live as of August 13, 2025. To add an asset to your Kraken account, navigate to Funding,…
Here is YouTube, here is Spotify. Yonatan is a very smart venture capitalist. About 34 minutes, recommended!
Wednesdays are all about personal finance here at Abnormal Returns. You can check out last week’s links including a look at why it is hard to avoid the rate race. Quote of the Day "We are fallible, and inconstant, and biased.…
Yves here. Given the imminent Trump-Putin summit, Russia is very much in the focus, as is the new US provocation in its Caucasus back yard via Trump’s loudly-announced plan for a 99 year lease on the Zangezur Corridor, which borders Iran.…
by Calculated Risk on 8/13/2025 09:50:00 AM Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in JulyA brief excerpt: Tracking local data gives an early look at what happened the previous month and also reveals…
August 13, 2025 | Asset Listings We’re thrilled to announce that XYO is available for trading on Kraken! Funding and trading XYO trading is live as of August 13, 2025. To add an asset to your Kraken account, navigate to Funding,…
During the pandemic, many restrictions on telemedicine were lifted, making it far easier for physicians to treat patients across state lines. That window has largely closed. Today, unless a doctor is separately licensed in a patient’s state—or the states have a…
This type of post only surfaces during a bull market, when greed tug at us the hardest, making satisfaction elusive. Ever since making my first public equity investment in 1996, I’ve been hooked, wrestling with the constant mental tug-of-war over how…
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We Don’t Have to Anthropomorphize Animals to Care About Them The Revelator Jobs and Hints of Recession Dollars & Sense CPI report: Core inflation rises by most in six months, stoking tariff-driven price concerns Yahoo! Finance Can I Eat Instant Noodles…
It’s been painful to observe the wretched state of reporting in the runup to the Trump-Putin summit in Alaska this Friday. Admittedly, the Trump side gaslighted the press with talk of territory swaps, an idea which if it was voiced in…
The 7 August 2025 issue of Nature included an interesting article on The Science Fiction Science Method (paywall) by Iyad Rahwan, Azim Shariff, and Jean-François Bonnefon. The scientific method is difficult enough to understand these days, especially regarding previously important but…
new video loaded: What to Know About Trump’s Deal With A.I. ChipmakersBy Tripp Mickle, Karen Hanley, Jon Hazell and David Jouppi•August 13, 2025Nvidia and AMD will give the Trump administration a cut of chip sales to China in a deal that…
Member-only storyJonny Fry6 min read·1 day ago--Written by James Tylee Founder of Cyber.FMIn a move of historic consequence for digital finance, Washington has ended the era of regulatory ambiguity, embracing a strategy that positions America to dominate the next chapter of…
Member-only storyJamen Djedet4 min read·2 days ago--Press enter or click to view image in full sizeImage, courtesy of GrokBitcoin’s meteoric rise to $122,000 has sparked euphoria across the crypto markets. Yet, beneath this milestone lies a troubling reality: the rally may…
Press enter or click to view image in full sizeMember-only storyCRYPTO INVESTINGThe Top 5 Crypto Launchpads You Need to KnowDominalt11 min read·2 days ago--The most efficient way to make money in crypto is to get in early. And the best way…
Press enter or click to view image in full sizeMember-only storyCRYPTO INVESTINGFour altcoin projects ready to shake up the market.Dominalt9 min read·22 hours ago--Earlier today, we saw once again Bitcoin rally pretty close to its previous all-time high, and things are…
Kelly7 min read·16 hours ago--Image credit: Council of the European UnionSay “wallet” in Brussels and people think fintech. Say “DAO” and they think cult. Say “smart contract” and they think loophole.By the time the conversation starts, you’re already on the defensive.I’ve…
Member-only storyPVMihalache3 min read·5 hours ago--Hana Network is an emerging project in the SocialFi and AI agent space, focused on building a decentralized attention layer for the internet. I prepared a smooth breakdown for crypto bros!Hana Network is building an onchain…
A key reason for the global financial cycle, as outlined by Hélène Rey, is that many firms and financial institutions in developing countries borrow heavily in U.S. dollars while their revenues, assets, and cash flows are denominated in local currency. When…
Yves here. Due to having closely chronicled the 2007-2008 crisis, and then learning even more afterward by continuing to dig into what happened, yours truly has a strong point of view about what happened. In his post below, Richard Murphy correctly…
By Dr. Rob Anderson, Guest Writer As an anesthesiologist and clinical leader, I have your typical mix of responsibilities, including clinical loan, scheduling, and hospital committee work. I am also the lead recruiter of our group, which has given me a…
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For the past 30 years, our practitioner has specialized in the treatment of psychotrauma and Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder (PTSD), understanding the profound impact they have on health and life, not only for the individuals directly affected but also for their loved ones. Additionally, he has dedicated himself to providing long-term support for those battling physical and mental injuries, cancerous pathologies, genetic diseases, and other challenging conditions.
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Practitioner in Neuropsychology
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