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by Calculated Risk on 8/11/2025 07:54:00 PM

From Matthew Graham at Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage Rates Steady Ahead of High Stakes Inflation Report

The average top tier 30yr fixed rate held exceptionally steady last week after moving just a bit lower over the weekend. By comparison, today’s rates are much closer to Friday’s latest levels and still very close to the lowest we’ve seen since October, 2024.

If the two key economic considerations for interest rates are jobs and inflation, the two key economic reports are the jobs report seen earlier this month and the Consumer Price Index which comes out tomorrow morning. It’s often repeated that the PCE Price Index is a preferable gauge of inflation, but CPI comes out 2 weeks earlier and thus gets most of the market’s attention.

Just like last month, market participants are watching to see the extent of tariff-driven inflation in tomorrow’s data. If

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