Finance
Larry Johnson was so kind as to indulge me in having what amounted to a podcast for his YouTube outlet, CounterCurrents. He has a very easygoing style, which made for a fun talk (I hope not too much fun at the…
Yves here. I am highly confident that readers will have a field day with this article. In trying to claim the truthiness high ground on immigration, it includes many overt and implicit misrepresentations, such as skipping over the difference between legal…
The latest sought-after home amenity? Personal fire hydrants. The logic is that when there’s a major disaster there may not be enough fire engines to protect every house in an area. If homeowners have their own hydrant ready to go—along with…
Here is a gloomy account from Vladimir Mirov: Ruble depreciation will contribute to inflation even further, as Russia is continued to be heavily reliant on imports – this is a kind of self-sustaining spiral. I also strongly disagree with those who…
by Calculated Risk on 12/06/2024 07:01:00 PM Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios.For deaths, I'm currently using 4 weeks ago for "now", since the most recent three weeks will be revised significantly.Note: "Effective May 1,…
From a X post today: There have been widening gaps between NFP and civilian employment in the recent, which he takes as evidence of serious overcounting of employment in the CES. It’s important to realize the CPS estimate of civilian employment…
A Fortune 500 pharmaceutical company raised its drug prices, and then board members and executives received phone calls threatening violence. A health care company’s board meeting was disrupted after board members were targeted in “swatting” attacks that wrongly sent law enforcement…
Today, we’re pleased to present a guest contribution by Laurent Ferrara (Professor of Economics at Skema Business School, Paris and Chair of the French Business Cycle Dating Committee). Since President Macron announced the dissolution of the French Assemblée Nationale on Sunday 9…
by Calculated Risk on 12/06/2024 02:35:00 PM From BofA: Since our last weekly publication, our 3Q GDP tracking estimate has moved up a tenth to 2.9% q/q saar from the second official print of 2.8% q/q saar. Additionally, we initiated our…
Here are some key indicators followed by NBER’s BCDC, including employment for November (227K vs. 202K consensus, 194K vs. 160K consensus, for NFP, and private NFP respectively). Figure 1: Nonfarm Payroll (NFP) employment from CES (blue), implied NFP from preliminary benchmark (bold…
There is a new translation by Joseph Luzzi, and I find it an order of magnitude better than the older treatments. It somehow communicates the strangeness of this work in a new and unprecedented way. You can order it here. I…
By Lambert Strether of Corrente. Bird Song of the Day Northern Mockingbird, Ensenachos, Sancti Spíritus, Cuba. “One singing in trees out back of 3400 building.” * * * In Case You Might Miss… Krugman hangs up his keyboard. UnitedHealthcare shooting: Details…
Here is the NYT announcement. I hope they consider Noah Smith as the obvious replacement…
by Calculated Risk on 12/06/2024 11:33:00 AM Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in NovemberA brief excerpt: NOTE: The tables for active listings, new listings and closed sales all include a comparison to…
Yves here. Richard Koo, famed for his creation of the balance sheet recession to explain Japan’s lost decades of growth, offers a fresh angle on why US and Japanese voters have gone into “Throw the incumbents out” mode. As many do,…
by Calculated Risk on 12/06/2024 10:51:00 AM From Manheim Consulting today: Wholesale Used-Vehicle Prices Increase in NovemberWholesale used-vehicle prices (on a mix-, mileage-, and seasonally adjusted basis) were higher in November compared to October. The Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index (MUVVI)…
ShareShare Article via FacebookShare Article via TwitterShare Article via LinkedInShare Article via Email Former Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Roger Ferguson joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the November jobs report, impact on the Fed's inflation fight, rate path outlook, and more. 05:38…
by Calculated Risk on 12/06/2024 09:12:00 AM The headline jobs number in the November employment report was above expectations, and September payrolls and October payrolls were revised up by 56,000 combined. The participation rate and the employment population ratio declined, and…
Research suggests that you’ll spend less than you otherwise would by setting a strict budget — even if you go over the budget.Black Friday and Cyber Monday have come and gone. So you may think that setting limits on holiday spending…
ShareShare Article via FacebookShare Article via TwitterShare Article via LinkedInShare Article via Email DOGE caucus founder and co-chair Rep. Aaron Bean (R-Fla.) joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss his meeting with Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy on Capitol Hill, top priorities for…
ShareShare Article via FacebookShare Article via TwitterShare Article via LinkedInShare Article via Email New York City Mayor Eric Adams joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest developments in the murder investigation of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson, safety concerns around New York…
ShareShare Article via FacebookShare Article via TwitterShare Article via LinkedInShare Article via Email Ian Shepherdson, Pantheon Macroeconomics chairman and editor-in-chief, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the economy, what to expect from the November jobs report, impact on the…
ShareShare Article via FacebookShare Article via TwitterShare Article via LinkedInShare Article via Email Kara Reynolds, American University department of economics chair and professor of Swiftonomics, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the Taylor Swift economy, the impact of Swiftonomics on the global…
by Calculated Risk on 12/06/2024 08:30:00 AM From the BLS: Employment Situation Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 227,000 in November, and the unemployment rate changed little at 4.2 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Employment trended up…
ShareShare Article via FacebookShare Article via TwitterShare Article via LinkedInShare Article via Email Allan Thygesen, DocuSign CEO, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the company's quarterly earnings results, the implementation of AI, whether AI poses a challenge to the company business in…
ShareShare Article via FacebookShare Article via TwitterShare Article via LinkedInShare Article via Email Dave Komendat, DSKomendat Risk Management Services president and former Boeing chief security officer, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the security protocols for corporate America in the wake of…
This week, we speak with David Roux, Executive Chairman of BayPine, a private equity firm focused on digital transformation. Previously he co-founded Silver Lake Partners and served as the chairman and co-CEO. David has also held leadership positions at Oracle, Central Point…
The tragic killing of UnitedHealthCare’s Brian Thompson has spurred companies to ratchet up security for their most senior executives. A manhunt is underway to find the killer of Brian Thompson, the C.E.O. of UnitedHealthcare.Dave Sanders for The New York TimesC.E.O.s on…
ShareShare Article via FacebookShare Article via TwitterShare Article via LinkedInShare Article via Email Bill Eigen, JPMorgan Asset Management CIO of Absolute Return Fixed Income Group, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, the Fed's inflation fight, what to expect…
ShareShare Article via FacebookShare Article via TwitterShare Article via LinkedInShare Article via Email Marc Morial, National Urban League president and former mayor of New Orleans, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the impact the Biden administration has had on the economy, jobs…
ShareShare Article via FacebookShare Article via TwitterShare Article via LinkedInShare Article via Email Squawk Box CNBC's Eamon Javers joins 'Squawk Box' with the latest installment of The Javers Files. 02:53 Fri, Dec 6 20247:28 AM EST Eamon Javers
New paper in Science, A single mutation in bovine influenza H5N1 hemagglutinin switches specificity to human receptors. If that isn’t clear enough, here is the editor’s summary: In 2021, a highly pathogenic influenza H5N1 clade 2.3.4.4b virus was detected in North…
The Secret of Orange Cats Finally Uncovered After 60-Year Search ScienceAlert (Chuck L) Mesmerising and beautiful patterns made in the bubbling lava at Iceland's new eruption pic.twitter.com/i65TZsEJVb — Volcaholic 🌋 (@volcaholic1) December 4, 2024 Archaeological dig at Notre-Dame unearths 2,000 years…
If one of the presumed goals of president elect Donald Trump’s first round of tariff threats was to sow discord and division among Washington’s USMCA partners, it’s working like a dream. For the best part of the past two weeks, Canada’s…
Yves here. When this French government was formed, experts anticipated that it would be weak and unstable, and that France might even prove to be “ungovernable.” Marine LePen’s Rassemblement National won a plurality in the first round of parliamentary elections. Its…
Yves here. An acceleration of growth of data centers, driven by AI demand, is set to make the already existential climate change threat even worse. Yet there’s collective complacency, as opposed to calls for AI to be severely curbed or heavily…
It was so much fun we ran over and did about ninety minutes instead of the usual hour. Here is the audio, video, and transcript. Here is part of the episode summary: Tyler sat down with Stephen to discuss the state…
by Calculated Risk on 12/05/2024 07:52:00 PM Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios.Friday: • At 8:30 AM ET, Employment Report for November. The consensus is for 183,000 jobs added, and for the unemployment rate…
(Or, ” I have in my hand fifty-seven cases of individuals…”) At 3:44 into this video, this Ms. DiMartino Booth makes this assertion, claiming this is the reason we haven’t seen a recession in the data pre-election. She further argues that…
by Calculated Risk on 12/05/2024 02:39:00 PM On Friday at 8:30 AM ET, the BLS will release the employment report for November. The consensus is for 183,000 jobs added, and for the unemployment rate to be unchanged at 4.1%.There were 12,000…
Serena Williams, Jerome H. Powell, Jeff Bezos and other leaders across business and technology discussed artificial intelligence, inflation, the media and what the world would look like under a second Donald J. Trump presidency.Mr. Bezos, for one, thinks the president-elect has…
by Calculated Risk on 12/05/2024 02:11:00 PM What this means: On a weekly basis, Realtor.com reports the year-over-year change in active inventory and new listings. On a monthly basis, they report total inventory. For November, Realtor.com reported inventory was up 26.2%…
That is the theme of a new Substack by Pieter Garicano, here is one excerpt: These answers, according to a recent paper by Olivier Coste and Yann Coatanlem, two French investors, miss the point: the reason more capital doesn’t flow towards high-leverage ideas…
By Lambert Strether of Corrente. Bird Song of the Day Northern Mockingbird, Edith G. Read Wildlife Sanctuary, Westchester, New York, United States. “Amazing repertoire of other species’ songs woven into this song. This mockingbird was imitating several species including cardinal, robin,…
ShareShare Article via FacebookShare Article via TwitterShare Article via LinkedInShare Article via Email CNBC's Andrew Ross Sorkin shares the top moments from his interview with 'Call Her Daddy' Alex Cooper at the 2024 New York Times DealBook Summit. 02:44 Thu, Dec…
by Calculated Risk on 12/05/2024 11:03:00 AM Today, in the Real Estate Newsletter: Asking Rents Mostly Unchanged Year-over-yearBrief excerpt: Another monthly update on rents.Tracking rents is important for understanding the dynamics of the housing market. Slower household formation and increased supply…
The oil cartel had aimed to start opening the taps in January, but delayed in the face of weak demand and plans by other countries to raise production.Once again, major oil producers have postponed a plan to increase production, a decision…
Rolling Stone weighed in on what those who check into Twitter or TikTok have probably already noticed: Social Media Has Little Sympathy for Murdered Health Insurance Exec. At this point, there is comparatively little new news about the killing of UnitedHealth’s…
We lost one of the greats this week: Art Cashin passed away Sunday at the age of 83. CNBC’s Bob Pisani did a wonderful remembrance of Art: “In the intensely competitive and often vicious world of stock market commentary, Cashin was…
ShareShare Article via FacebookShare Article via TwitterShare Article via LinkedInShare Article via Email Robinhood co-founder and CEO Vlad Tenev joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss bitcoin's latest rally, Fed Chair Powell's comments on the cryptocurrency, impact of President-elect Trump's pick to lead…
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